Solid growth in Norwegian economy from 2011 to 2012

Gross domestic product (GDP) for mainland Norway grew by 3.5 per cent in 2012, up from 2.5 per cent in 2011. Both goods and service production were markedly higher than in 2011.

 

Value added in extraction of crude oil and natural gas was nearly unchanged from 2011 to 2012, which led to a growth in total GDP of 3.2 per cent, according to preliminary national account volume figures. In comparison, the average annual growth of GDP for mainland Norway was 4.7 per cent in the period from 2004 to 2007.

Gross domestic product 2007-2012. Percentage change in volume
 
 200720082009201020112012
 
Gross domestic product (GDP)     2.7     0.1     -1.6     0.5     1.2     3.2
GDP Mainland-Norway 5.3 1.5 -1.6 1.7 2.5 3.5
Petroleum activities and ocean transport -4.7 -4.7 -1.6 -4.0 -3.3 1.9
Final domestic use of goods and services 5.9 1.4 -4.0 3.2 3.4 3.6
Final consumption exp. of households 5.7 1.8 -0.2 4.0 2.5 3.0
Final consumption exp. of general government 2.7 2.7 4.3 1.3 1.8 2.1
Gross fixed capital formation 11.4 0.2 -7.5 -8.0 7.6 8.1
Exports 1.4 0.1 -4.2 0.4 -1.8 2.2
Imports 10.0 3.9 -12.5 9.0 3.8 3.3
             
Total employed 4.1 3.3 -0.4 -0.5 1.3 2.2
Total man-hours worked 4.6 3.6 -2.0 0.1 1.8 2.1
 

Increased goods and service production

The strongest contribution to growth in GDP for mainland Norway was from the construction industry, which grew by 7.4 per cent from 2011 to 2012 and which counted for nearly 0.5 percentage points of the increase in GDP for mainland Norway. Growth in construction was especially strong in the first half of 2012, and then levelled out in the last two quarters. Production and supply of electricity also contributed strongly to the growth in GDP for mainland Norway, and accounted for approximately 0.4 percentage points. Aquaculture grew by 22 per cent, while traditional fisheries fell for the second year in a row.

Value added in manufacturing grew by 2.4 per cent. Production in machinery and shipbuilding industries were up, while commodity-based manufacturing was down.

Service-producing industries excluding general government grew by 3.3 per cent in 2012. Strong growth was especially evident for professional, scientific, technical and administrative and support service activities – industries that are closely connected to petroleum activity.

General government dampened growth in GDP

Value added in general government grew by 1.8 per cent. Growth in local government value added was somewhat stronger than central government, and within local government growth was especially evident in social services, including childcare. Gross fixed capital formation in general government rose slightly from 2011 to 2012.

Higher investments in petroleum activity

Gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) in total increased by 8.1 per cent in 2012, which is primarily due to higher GFCF in extraction of crude oil and natural gas. The volume of GFCF in manufacturing was about the same as in the previous year. Investments in dwellings were high both in 2010 and 2011 and rose by 7.4 per cent in 2012. GFCF in mainland Norway excluding general government grew by 4.7 per cent.

Employment and average annual earnings

Employment increased by 58 000 persons, or 2.2 per cent, in 2012. About one third of the increase stems from professional, scientific technical and administrative and support service activities, and construction. Employment in manufacturing grew by 0.7 per cent, while general government rose by 1.7 per cent, or 14 000 persons. Total hours worked in total grew by 2.1 per cent in 2012, up from 1.8 per cent in 2011.

The growth in average annual earnings for all employees is estimated at 4.0 per cent in 2012, down from 4.2 per cent in 2011. Growth in average annual earnings in manufacturing is estimated at 4.3 per cent, and 4.2 per cent in general government.

Due to a relative modest price increase of final consumption expenditures of household and non-profit serving institutions serving households, growth in real average annual earnings is estimated at 3.1 per cent in 2012, compared to 2.8 per cent in 2011.

Moderate consumption growth

Household final consumption expenditure grew by 3 per cent in 2012. The growth in consumption has had an average annual growth rate of 2.2 per cent from 2007, while it was 5.1 per cent in the period from 2004 to 2007.

The growth in consumption of goods was up by 2.1 per cent. Positive contributions were made by the consumption of food, clothing and electricity, among others. Consumption of services grew by 3 per cent, helped by the consumption of leisure activities, rent and accommodation and food services. Household consumption abroad continued to rise sharply for the third year in a row, and contributed in isolation with 0.6 percentage points to the growth in household final consumption expenditure.

Trade surplus

The trade surplus increased by NOK 20 billion from 2011, which is related to increased oil and gas prices, and is estimated to be NOK 385 billion in 2012.

In terms of volume, exports increased by 2.2 per cent in 2012. Exports of traditional goods grew by 2.6 per cent, with strong contributions from exports of farmed fish, machinery and equipment and electricity. Export of electricity accounted for close to 1.1 percentage points of the growth in exports of traditional goods. Exports of services grew by 6 per cent, with marked growth in exports of petroleum-related services and ocean transport abroad.

Imports rose by 3.3 per cent. Imports of traditional goods were up 2.1 per cent and imports of services by 10.3 per cent. Household consumption abroad served to pull up the growth in total import of services by 3.5 percentage points.

 

Source Statistics Norway


Related Articles

IMF: Norway's economy continues to perform well

altThe International Monetary Fund (IMF) has presented its views on the Norwegian economy and Norwegian economic policy, and concludes that the Norwegian economy continues to perform well.(Photo: Finance Minister Sigbjørn Johnsen)..Read more...

Prime Minister plans to reform the tax system

Jens StoltenbergThe tax rates will be cut, says Prime Minister Jens Stoltenberg. He is not pleased with the way the tax system that he has been running for almost eight consecutive years. ..Read more...

Experts advise the government to sell Statoil shares

  StatoilSeveral economy professors think the government should consider selling their shares in Statoil. ..Read more...

Key policy rate unchanged

altThe Executive Board of the Norwegian Central Bank (Norges Bank) has decided to keep the key policy rate unchanged at 1.5 percent. (Photo Norges Bank Deputy Governor Jan Qvigstad) ..Read more...

The Revised National Budget presented

altIn presenting the revision of the 2013 Fiscal Budget, Finance Minister Sigbjørn Johnsen said the Government proposes a slight strengthening of the budget balance compared to the approved 2013 budget...Read more...

Tax cuts to stimulate the mainland economy

altPrime Minister Jens Stoltenberg has announced that the Norwegian Government proposes tax changes from 2014 to strengthen competitiveness and profitability, and stimulate investments in the mainland economy...Read more...

Government incentive for the forestry industry

altThe Government will spend NOK 750 million on a package of measures to assist the Norwegian forestry sector...Read more...

Norwegians optimistic about economic future

Every second Norwegian is optimistic when it comes to own economic future. This is shown by a survey made by Sentio for the newspaper Nationen...Read more...

- Norwegian wages must go down

altWhen the oil is no longer around to finance Norwegians' salary level, people's wages may have to be reduced by as much as 25 percent, predicts economist Knut Anton Mork. ..Read more...

Concern over Europe's financial crisis

altSpeaking at ILO's regional conference in Oslo, Norwegian Priem Minister Jens Stoltenberg said the crisis in Europe is dramatic. A financial crisis has now turned into a jobs crisis...Read more...

Prime Ministers Stoltenberg and Medvedev meet in St.Petersburg

  altPrime Minister Jens Stoltenberg says Norway and Russia are continously developing a closer cooperation in important fields. ..Read more...

Statkraft becomes owner of Albanian hydropower plant

Norwegian Statkraft AS and Austrian EVN AG have signed an agreement by which Statkraft will acquire EVN’s 50 percent stake in Devoll Hydropower ShA in Albania...Read more...

Key policy rate unchanged at 1.5 percent

altThe Executive Board of the Norwegian Central Bank (Norges Bank) has decided to keep the key policy rate unchanged, at 1.5 per cent. The record low key policy rate has remained unchanged since March 14th last year. ..Read more...

Annual Government budget talks underway

altAs the Government began their annnual budget conference, Prime Minister Jens Stoltenberg said he is pleased with the development of the Norwegian economy, but sees challenges ahead in the work to form the budget for 2014.   ..Read more...

Dampened growth in mainland economy

altForeign and domestic demand, excluding petroleum activities, grew modestly in the 4th quarter of 2012. The gross domestic product (GDP) of mainland Norway was up 0.3 per cent in the 4th quarter. ..Read more...